A Survey of Monte Carlo Methods for Noisy and Costly Densities With Application to Reinforcement Learning and ABC Articles uri icon

publication date

  • April 2025

start page

  • 18

end page

  • 61

issue

  • 1

volume

  • 93

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0306-7734

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1751-5823

abstract

  • This survey gives an overview of Monte Carlo methodologies using surrogate models, for dealing with densities that are intractable, costly, and/or noisy. This type of problem can be found in numerous real-world scenarios, including stochastic optimisation and reinforcement learning, where each evaluation of a density function may incur some computationally-expensive or even physical (real-world activity) cost, likely to give different results each time. The surrogate model does not incur this cost, but there are important trade-offs and considerations involved in the choice and design of such methodologies. We classify the different methodologies into three main classes and describe specific instances of algorithms under a unified notation. A modular scheme that encompasses the considered methods is also presented. A range of application scenarios is discussed, with special attention to the likelihood-free setting and reinforcement learning. Several numerical comparisons are also provided.

subjects

  • Business
  • Economics
  • Statistics

keywords

  • approximate bayesian computation; intractable likelihoods; noisy monte carlo; pseudo marginal metropolis; surrogate models