Failing Young and Temporary Workers? The Impact of a Disruptive Crisis on a Dual Labour Market Articles uri icon

authors

  • NUNES, CAROLINA
  • PESSOA CARVALHO, BRUNO MIGUEL
  • PEREIRA DOS SANTOS, JOAO
  • PERALTA, SUSANA
  • TAVARES, JOSE

publication date

  • February 2023

start page

  • 349

end page

  • 395

issue

  • 2

volume

  • 23

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 2194-6108

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1935-1682

abstract

  • We study the impact of the pandemic crisis using monthly data
    covering the universe of individuals registered as unemployed in mainland
    Portuguese municipalities, complemented with electronic payments, linked
    employer–employee data, and furlough records. Event study designs identify a
    sharp increase in unemployment, driven mostly by termination of temporary contracts, and a decrease in new job placements. With triple difference-in-differences,
    we show that the effects are stronger in more dual municipal labour markets, i.e.
    with a higher share of temporary jobs, concentrated in young workers and middle educated individuals. The asymmetries are exacerbated by the duality of the
    municipal labour market.

keywords

  • covid-19; unemployment; difference-in-differences; dual labour market; regional impacts; portugal