Looking for two-sided coattail effects: Integrated parties and multilevel elections in the U.S. Articles
Overview
published in
- ELECTORAL STUDIES Journal
publication date
- December 2015
start page
- 66
end page
- 75
volume
- 40
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)
- 0261-3794
Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)
- 1873-6890
abstract
- In the context of the American federalism, integrated parties provide the necessary coordination mechanism for state and federal politicians to be electorally successful. This argument rests on the assumption that voters are able to observe the benefits of voting a straight ticket. We test this individual level explanation by using the CCES data. Moreover, at the aggregate level, we measure the so-called ‘two-sided" coattail effects in concurrent multilevel elections in the U.S. since 1960. By using a simultaneous equation model, we estimate the reciprocal relationship between presidential and gubernatorial vote shares at the state level. While we find no consistent presidential coattails, we reveal robust and significant gubernatorial coattail effects on state-level presidential vote, underscoring the role of multilevel forces within parties in democratic federations.