A Bayesian Method for Model Selection in Environmental Noise Prediction Articles uri icon

publication date

  • March 2016

start page

  • 31

end page

  • 42


  • 1


  • 27

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1726-2135

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1684-8799


  • Environmental noise prediction and modeling are key factors for addressing a proper planning and management of urban sound environments. In this paper we propose a maximum a posteriori (MAP) method to compare nonlinear state-space models that describe the problem of predicting environmental sound levels. The numerical implementation of this method is based on particle filtering and we use a Markov chain Monte Carlo technique to improve the resampling step. In order to demonstrate the validity of the proposed approach for this particular problem, we have conducted a set of experiments where two prediction models are quantitatively compared using real noise measurement data collected in different urban areas.


  • environmental noise level prediction; map model selection; monte carlo sampling; nonlinear state-space model; particle filtering; urban sound environments; sequential monte-carlo; particle filters; traffic noise; annoyance; algorithm; perspective; networks; level; areas