Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)
1465-7295
abstract
This paper evaluates the effects of a labor market reform in Spain that removedrestrictions on fixed-term or temporary contracts. Our empirical results are based onlongitudinal firm-level data that cover observations before and after the reform. Weposit and estimate a dynamic labor demand model with indefinite and fixed-term laborcontracts, and a general structure of labor adjustment costs. Experiments using theestimated model show important positive effects of the reform on total employment(i.e., a 3.5% increase) and job turnover. There is a strong substitution of permanentby temporary workers (i.e., a 10% decline in permanent employment). The effects onlabor productivity and the value of firms are very small. In contrast, a counterfactualreform that halved all firing costs would produce the same employment increase as theactual reform, but much larger improvements in productivity and in the value of firms.